Mavericks vs. Pacers Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – November 4

Published 7:19 am Monday, November 4, 2024

The Indiana Pacers (2-4) are 4.5-point underdogs as they look to end a three-game road slide when they square off against the Dallas Mavericks (4-2) on Monday, November 4, 2024 at American Airlines Center. The matchup airs at 9:45 PM ET on KFAA and FDSIN.

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Mavericks vs. Pacers Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, November 4, 2024
  • Time: 9:45 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: KFAA and FDSIN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

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Mavericks vs. Pacers Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Mavericks 120 – Pacers 106

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Spread & Total Prediction for Mavericks vs. Pacers

  • Pick ATS: Mavericks (- 4.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Mavericks (-13.7)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (237.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 226.3
  • With their .500 ATS win percentages this year, both the Mavericks (3-3-0 ATS) and the Pacers (3-3-0 ATS) have had similar seasons in attempting to cover the spread.
  • When the spread is set as 4.5 or more this season, Dallas (2-2) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (50%) than Indiana (2-1) does as the underdog (66.7%).
  • Indiana and its opponents have eclipsed the over/under 66.7% of the time this season (four out of six). That’s more often than Dallas and its opponents have (two out of six).
  • The Mavericks have a .600 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (3-2) this season, higher than the .333 winning percentage for the Pacers as a moneyline underdog (1-2).

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Mavericks Performance Insights

  • The Mavericks have a top-five defense this year, ranking fourth-best in the league with 105.3 points allowed per game. Offensively, they rank 21st with 110.3 points scored per contest.
  • Dallas is grabbing 46 rebounds per game (12th-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 47.3 rebounds per contest (22nd-ranked).
  • The Mavericks rank 21st in the NBA with 24.5 dimes per contest.
  • Dallas is top-five this year in turnovers, ranking third-best in the league with 11.2 turnovers per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 15th with 14.2 forced turnovers per contest.
  • This year, the Mavericks are draining 13.2 three-pointers per game (15th-ranked in NBA) and are shooting 35.1% (15th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

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Pacers Performance Insights

  • On offense the Pacers are the 11th-ranked team in the NBA (115.8 points per game). Defensively they are fourth-worst (121 points allowed per game).
  • On the glass, Indiana is fifth-worst in the NBA in rebounds (41.5 per game). It is 19th in rebounds allowed (46.3 per game).
  • The Pacers are fourth-best in the NBA in assists (30.2 per game) in 2024-25.
  • In terms of turnovers, Indiana is 23rd in the NBA in committing them (15.5 per game). It is 21st in forcing them (12.8 per game).
  • The Pacers make 11.5 3-pointers per game and shoot 34.8% from beyond the arc, ranking 23rd and 18th, respectively, in the NBA.

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