Pacers vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – November 15

Published 2:17 pm Thursday, November 14, 2024

The Indiana Pacers (5-6) are 4.5-point favorites as they try to continue a three-game home winning streak when they take on the Miami Heat (4-6) on Friday, November 15, 2024 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The game airs at 7:00 PM ET on FDSIN and FDSSUN.

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Pacers vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, November 15, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSIN and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

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Pacers vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Pacers 114 – Heat 112

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Spread & Total Prediction for Pacers vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Heat (+ 4.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Pacers (-1.3)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (227.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 225.9
  • The Pacers have been more successful against the spread than the Heat this year, recording an ATS record of 6-5-0, compared to the 4-6-0 mark of the Heat.
  • Indiana (2-3) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 4.5 points or more this season (40%) than Miami (2-0) does as a 4.5+-point underdog (100%).
  • Indiana and its opponents have exceeded the total 63.6% of the time this season (seven out of 11). That’s more often than Miami and its opponents have (five out of 10).
  • As a moneyline favorite this season, the Pacers are 2-3, while the Heat are 1-3 as moneyline underdogs.

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Pacers Performance Insights

  • Offensively, the Pacers are averaging 113.8 points per game (14th-ranked in league). They are allowing 116.5 points per contest at the other end (23rd-ranked).
  • Indiana has found it difficult to grab rebounds this season, ranking third-worst in the league with 40.1 boards per game. It ranks 24th by allowing 45.5 boards per contest.
  • The Pacers are dishing out 27.7 dimes per game, which ranks them eighth in the NBA in 2024-25.
  • Indiana is 13th in the NBA with 13.4 turnovers per game so far this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 22nd with 13.2 forced turnovers per game.
  • The Pacers are draining 12.2 threes per game (22nd-ranked in league). They have a 37.1% shooting percentage (10th-ranked) from three-point land.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • On offense the Heat are the 20th-ranked squad in the league (110.2 points per game). On defense they are 10th (111.2 points allowed per game).
  • Miami is 17th in the league in rebounds per game (43) and third-worst in rebounds conceded (47).
  • The Heat are 18th in the NBA in assists (25.4 per game) in 2024-25.
  • In terms of turnovers, Miami is third-best in the league in committing them (11.9 per game). It is 10th in forcing them (14.7 per game).
  • Beyond the arc, the Heat are eighth in the league in 3-pointers made per game (14.8). They are fifth-best in 3-point percentage at 38.8%.

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