Saturday’s game between the No. 5 Kentucky Wildcats (9-1) and the Louisville Cardinals (6-4) at Rupp Arena should be a one-sided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 82-72 and heavily favors Kentucky to come out on top. Game time is at 5:15 PM ET on December 14.

Based on our computer prediction, Louisville is projected to cover the point spread (10.5) versus Kentucky. The two sides are expected to come in below the 157.5 total.

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Kentucky vs. Louisville Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 14, 2024
• Time: 5:15 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Kentucky -10.5
• Point total: 157.5
• Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -629, Louisville +450

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Kentucky vs. Louisville Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 82, Louisville 72

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Louisville

• Pick ATS: Louisville (+10.5)
• Pick OU: Under (157.5)

Kentucky has a 5-5-0 record against the spread this season compared to Louisville, who is 4-6-0 ATS. The Wildcats have gone over the point total in six games, while Cardinals games have gone over two times. The teams combine to score 167.2 points per game, 9.7 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats’ +208 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 20.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 91.1 points per game (first in college basketball) while allowing 70.3 per outing (166th in college basketball).
• Kentucky wins the rebound battle by 5.9 boards on average. It collects 40.1 rebounds per game, which ranks fourth in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 34.2 per outing.
• Kentucky hits 10.2 three-pointers per game (31st in college basketball), 3.2 more than its opponents (7).
• The Wildcats put up 108 points per 100 possessions (13th in college basketball), while allowing 83.3 points per 100 possessions (41st in college basketball).
• Kentucky has committed 9.2 turnovers per game (19th in college basketball play) while forcing 10.2 (309th in college basketball).

Louisville Performance Insights

• The Cardinals have a +74 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.4 points per game. They’re putting up 76.1 points per game, 175th in college basketball, and are allowing 68.7 per outing to rank 125th in college basketball.
• The 37.1 rebounds per game Louisville accumulates rank 39th in the nation, 6.7 more than the 30.4 its opponents grab.
• Louisville hits 8.6 three-pointers per game (119th in college basketball) at a 27% rate (352nd in college basketball), compared to the 7.7 its opponents make, shooting 33.9% from deep.
• Louisville has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 12.5 per game (264th in college basketball) while forcing 14.6 (47th in college basketball).

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