Thunder vs. Pacers Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – December 26

Published 2:16 pm Wednesday, December 25, 2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder (23-5) will try to continue a three-game winning streak when they visit the Indiana Pacers (15-15) at 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, December 26, 2024 as 4.5-point favorites. The Pacers have won five games in a row.

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Thunder vs. Pacers Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Thursday, December 26, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: NBA TV, FDSIN, and FDSOK
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

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Thunder vs. Pacers Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Thunder 116 – Pacers 108

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Spread & Total Prediction for Thunder vs. Pacers

  • Pick ATS: Thunder (- 4.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Thunder (-8.2)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (226.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 223.7
  • The Thunder have had more success against the spread than the Pacers this season, sporting an ATS record of 18-10-0, as opposed to the 13-17-0 record of the Pacers.
  • When the spread is set as 4.5 or more this season, Oklahoma City (14-9) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (60.9%) than Indiana (6-4) does as the underdog (60%).
  • Oklahoma City’s games have gone over the total 42.9% of the time this season (12 out of 28), less often than Indiana’s games have (18 out of 30).
  • The Thunder have an .815 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (22-5) this season while the Pacers have a .538 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (7-6).

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Thunder Performance Insights

  • The Thunder have been lifted by their defense, as they rank best in the NBA by surrendering just 103.1 points per game. They rank ninth in the league in points scored (115.1 per contest).
  • Oklahoma City, who ranks 15th in the league with 44 boards per game, is allowing 47.5 rebounds per contest, which is second-worst in the NBA.
  • The Thunder are averaging 25.5 assists per game, which ranks them 17th in the NBA in 2024-25.
  • Oklahoma City is thriving when it comes to turnovers, as it ranks best in the league in turnovers committed (11.3 per game) and best in forced turnovers (18.4 per contest).
  • The Thunder are draining 13.6 three-pointers per game (15th-ranked in NBA) this year, while sporting a 34.9% three-point percentage (19th-ranked).

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Pacers Performance Insights

  • The Pacers put up 114.8 points per game and allow 115.9, making them 10th in the league offensively and 22nd defensively.
  • Indiana is the third-worst team in the league in rebounds per game (40.6) and 17th in rebounds allowed (43.9).
  • The Pacers are 10th in the league in assists (27.9 per game) in 2024-25.
  • In terms of turnovers, Indiana is 15th in the league in committing them (13.8 per game). It is 13th in forcing them (14.3 per game).
  • The Pacers are 18th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (12.8 per game) and seventh in 3-point percentage (37.6%).

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