Saturday’s game that pits the No. 16 Kentucky Wildcats (10-1) against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (9-2) at Memorial Coliseum should be a lopsided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 77-59 in favor of Kentucky, who is heavy favorites by our model. Tipoff is at 4:00 PM ET on December 28.

According to our computer prediction, Western Kentucky is a good bet to cover the spread, which is currently listed at 18.5. The two teams are projected to come in below the 136.5 total.

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Kentucky vs. Western Kentucky Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network +
• Where: Lexington-Fayette, Kentucky
• Venue: Memorial Coliseum
• Line: Kentucky -18.5
• Point total: 136.5

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Kentucky vs. Western Kentucky Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 77, Western Kentucky 59

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Western Kentucky

• Pick ATS: Western Kentucky (+18.5)
• Pick OU: Under (136.5)

The teams combine to score 154.9 points per game, 18.4 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats average 77.5 points per game (45th in college basketball) while giving up 55.9 per contest (39th in college basketball). They have a +238 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 21.6 points per game.
• The 38.6 rebounds per game Kentucky averages rank 27th in the country, and are 9.1 more than the 29.5 its opponents record per contest.
• Kentucky knocks down 7.8 three-pointers per game (59th in college basketball), 3.0 more than its opponents (4.8). It is shooting 29.6% from beyond the arc (229th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 25.1%.
• The Wildcats put up 94.5 points per 100 possessions (44th in college basketball), while giving up 68.1 points per 100 possessions (34th in college basketball).
• Kentucky has committed 12.2 turnovers per game (23rd in college basketball play), 1.3 fewer than the 13.5 it forces on average (314th in college basketball).

Western Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Hilltoppers put up 77.4 points per game (46th in college basketball) while giving up 62.9 per contest (167th in college basketball). They have a +159 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 14.5 points per game.
• Western Kentucky falls short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.6 boards. It records 29.5 rebounds per game (296th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.1.
• Western Kentucky makes 8.8 three-pointers per game (22nd in college basketball), 3.2 more than its opponents.
• Western Kentucky has committed 5.9 fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 15.5 (153rd in college basketball) while forcing 21.4 (23rd in college basketball).

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