Saturday’s game between the No. 10 Kentucky Wildcats (11-2, 0-0 SEC) and No. 6 Florida Gators (13-0, 0-0 SEC) at Rupp Arena should be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 79-77, with Kentucky coming out on top. Game time is at 11:00 AM ET on January 4.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky is projected to cover the spread (1.5) versus Florida. The two teams are projected to go under the 165.5 over/under.

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Kentucky vs. Florida Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
• Time: 11:00 AM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Kentucky -1.5
• Point total: 165.5
• Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -115, Florida -104

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Kentucky vs. Florida Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 79, Florida 77

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Florida

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (165.5)

Kentucky is 6-7-0 against the spread, while Florida’s ATS record this season is 10-3-0. The Wildcats are 7-6-0 and the Gators are 5-8-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams score 176.4 points per game, 10.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Kentucky has a 4-6 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall in the last 10 games. Florida has gone 9-1 against the spread and 10-0 overall in its last 10 games.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats average 89 points per game (third in college basketball) while allowing 71.3 per outing (186th in college basketball). They have a +230 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 17.7 points per game.
• Kentucky wins the rebound battle by 4.8 boards on average. It collects 37.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 15th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 33 per contest.
• Kentucky makes 9.8 three-pointers per game (42nd in college basketball), 2.6 more than its opponents (7.2).
• The Wildcats’ 107.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 14th in college basketball, and the 86.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 85th in college basketball.
• Kentucky has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing nine per game (10th in college basketball action) while forcing 10.7 (281st in college basketball).

Florida Performance Insights

• The Gators’ +311 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 23.9 points per game) is a result of putting up 87.4 points per game (ninth in college basketball) while allowing 63.5 per contest (24th in college basketball).
• Florida comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 13.9 boards. It pulls down 43.5 rebounds per game (first in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.6.
• Florida knocks down 9.7 three-pointers per game (44th in college basketball), 3.7 more than its opponents.
• Florida has committed 10.9 turnovers per game (122nd in college basketball), 1.9 fewer than the 12.8 it forces (131st in college basketball).

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