Thursday’s game at Memorial Coliseum has the No. 16 Kentucky Wildcats (11-1) taking on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-1) at 7:00 PM (on January 2). Our computer prediction projects a 69-64 win for Kentucky, who is a small favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky should cover the point spread, which is currently listed at 1.5. The two teams are projected to fall short of the 135.5 total.

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Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 2, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network +
• Where: Lexington-Fayette, Kentucky
• Venue: Memorial Coliseum
• Line: Kentucky -1.5
• Point total: 135.5
• Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -140, Mississippi State +115

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Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 69, Mississippi State 64

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (135.5)

The teams average 157.3 points per game, 21.8 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats are outscoring opponents by 21.3 points per game with a +256 scoring differential overall. They put up 78.4 points per game (39th in college basketball) and allow 57.1 per contest (53rd in college basketball).
• The 38.8 rebounds per game Kentucky averages rank 23rd in the country, and are 9.8 more than the 29 its opponents record per outing.
• Kentucky makes three more threes per game than the opposition, 7.8 (59th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 4.8.
• The Wildcats’ 95.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 34th in college basketball, and the 69.6 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 45th in college basketball.
• Kentucky has committed 1.1 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 12.2 (23rd in college basketball play) while forcing 13.3 (322nd in college basketball).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs put up 78.9 points per game (35th in college basketball) while giving up 51.9 per outing (sixth in college basketball). They have a +378 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 27.0 points per game.
• Mississippi State wins the rebound battle by 14.6 boards on average. It collects 40.5 rebounds per game, 10th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 25.9.
• Mississippi State knocks down 6.8 three-pointers per game (124th in college basketball) at a 32.4% rate (135th in college basketball), compared to the 5.6 per game its opponents make, at a 24.5% rate.
• Mississippi State has come up on top in the turnover battle by 1.2 per game, committing 16.4 (198th in college basketball) while forcing 17.6 (107th in college basketball).

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