Thursday’s contest at Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O’Connell Center has the No. 15 Kentucky Wildcats (13-1) going head-to-head against the Florida Gators (10-6) at 5:00 PM (on January 9). Our computer prediction projects a 74-68 victory for Kentucky, who is a small favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Florida projects to cover the 8.5-point spread in its matchup against Kentucky. The over/under has been set at 145.5, and the two sides are projected to come in below that total.

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Kentucky vs. Florida Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 9, 2025
• Time: 5:00 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Gainesville, Florida
• Venue: Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O’Connell Center
• Line: Kentucky -8.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -450, Florida +350

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Kentucky vs. Florida Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 74, Florida 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Florida

• Pick ATS: Florida (+8.5)
• Pick OU: Under (145.5)

Kentucky is 6-4-0 against the spread, while Florida’s ATS record this season is 1-2-0. The Wildcats are 5-5-0 and the Gators are 2-1-0 in terms of going over the point total. The two teams combine to score 160.4 points per game, 14.9 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 games, Kentucky has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall. Florida has gone 1-2 against the spread and 1-2 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats outscore opponents by 21.2 points per game (scoring 80.6 points per game to rank 25th in college basketball while allowing 59.4 per contest to rank 83rd in college basketball) and have a +296 scoring differential overall.
• Kentucky comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 8.9 boards. It is recording 38.7 rebounds per game (19th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.8 per contest.
• Kentucky hits 4.1 more threes per game than the opposition, 9.1 (18th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 5.
• The Wildcats’ 97.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 20th in college basketball, and the 72.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 61st in college basketball.
• Kentucky forces 12.6 turnovers per game (332nd in college basketball) while committing 12.1 (22nd in college basketball action).

Florida Performance Insights

• The Gators outscore opponents by 15.5 points per game (posting 79.8 points per game, 28th in college basketball, and giving up 64.3 per outing, 189th in college basketball) and have a +249 scoring differential.
• Florida wins the rebound battle by 9.2 boards on average. It collects 35.1 rebounds per game, 84th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 25.9.
• Florida knocks down 5.5 three-pointers per game (237th in college basketball) at a 31.5% rate (150th in college basketball), compared to the 6.5 its opponents make, shooting 30.5% from beyond the arc.
• Florida forces 14.6 turnovers per game (265th in college basketball) while committing 14.4 (94th in college basketball).

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