Saturday’s contest between the No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-1, 2-0 SEC) and the No. 6 Kentucky Wildcats (12-3, 1-1 SEC) at Humphrey Coliseum has a projected final score of 80-77 based on our computer prediction, with Mississippi State taking home the win. Tipoff is at 8:30 PM ET on January 11.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky is projected to cover the spread (4.5) versus Mississippi State. The two sides are expected to come in below the 161.5 total.

Watch men’s college basketball, other live sports and more on Fubo. What is Fubo? Fubo is a streaming service that gives you access to your favorite live sports and shows on demand. Use our link to sign up.

Mississippi State vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
• Time: 8:30 PM ET
• TV: SEC Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Starkville, Mississippi
• Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
• Line: Mississippi State -4.5
• Point total: 161.5
• Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -184, Kentucky +152

Place your bets on any men’s college basketball matchup at BetMGM. Sign up today using our link.

Mississippi State vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Mississippi State 80, Kentucky 77

Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Kentucky

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (+4.5)
• Pick OU: Under (161.5)

Mississippi State has a 9-6-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Kentucky, who is 7-8-0 ATS. The Bulldogs have a 7-8-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Wildcats have a record of 8-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams score 172.3 points per game, 10.8 more points than this matchup’s total. Mississippi State is 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall over its past 10 games, while Kentucky has gone 3-7 against the spread and 7-3 overall.

Bet on this or any men’s college basketball matchup at BetMGM.

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs are outscoring opponents by 17 points per game with a +254 scoring differential overall. They put up 83.5 points per game (28th in college basketball) and give up 66.5 per outing (61st in college basketball).
• Mississippi State ranks 23rd in the country at 37.1 rebounds per game. That’s 5.9 more than the 31.2 its opponents average.
• Mississippi State connects on 8.7 three-pointers per game (99th in college basketball), 1.4 more than its opponents (7.3). It is shooting 34.2% from beyond the arc (161st in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 32.8%.
• The Bulldogs’ 105.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 30th in college basketball, and the 83.8 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 34th in college basketball.
• Mississippi State has committed 4.7 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 9.2 (15th in college basketball action) while forcing 13.9 (49th in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats are outscoring opponents by 14.9 points per game, with a +223 scoring differential overall. They put up 88.8 points per game (third in college basketball) and give up 73.9 per contest (249th in college basketball).
• Kentucky wins the rebound battle by 3.6 boards on average. It records 36.7 rebounds per game, 26th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 33.1.
• Kentucky hits 9.8 three-pointers per game (40th in college basketball) at a 35.7% rate (89th in college basketball), compared to the 7.5 per game its opponents make, at a 28.1% rate.
• Kentucky has committed 1.7 fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging nine (seventh in college basketball) while forcing 10.7 (282nd in college basketball).

Rep your favorite players with officially licensed gear. Head to Fanatics to find jerseys, shirts, hats, and much more.

Not all offers available in all states, please visit BetMGM for the latest promotions for your area. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.