Thursday’s game at Memorial Coliseum has the No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats (17-2) taking on the No. 22 Alabama Crimson Tide (17-4) at 7:00 PM (on January 30). Our computer prediction projects a 72-68 win for Kentucky, who is a small favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Alabama is projected to cover the spread (4.5) versus Kentucky. The two sides are expected to fall short of the 140.5 over/under.

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Kentucky vs. Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 30, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington-Fayette, Kentucky
• Venue: Memorial Coliseum
• Line: Kentucky -4.5
• Point total: 140.5
• Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -165, Alabama +140

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Kentucky vs. Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 72, Alabama 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Alabama

• Pick ATS: Alabama (+4.5)
• Pick OU: Under (140.5)

Kentucky’s record against the spread this season is 8-6-0, and Alabama’s is 9-5-0. The Wildcats are 8-6-0 and the Crimson Tide are 6-8-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams average 158.5 points per game, 18 more points than this matchup’s total. Kentucky is 5-5 against the spread and 9-1 overall over its last 10 contests, while Alabama has gone 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats’ +359 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 18.9 points per game) is a result of scoring 79 points per game (28th in college basketball) while giving up 60.1 per contest (92nd in college basketball).
• Kentucky wins the rebound battle by 6.5 boards on average. It records 37.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 21st in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 30.6 per contest.
• Kentucky connects on 8.7 three-pointers per game (21st in college basketball), 3.6 more than its opponents (5.1). It is shooting 32.9% from deep (111th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 27.6%.
• The Wildcats’ 96.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 20th in college basketball, and the 73.5 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 50th in college basketball.
• Kentucky forces 12.8 turnovers per game (328th in college basketball) while committing 12.3 (29th in college basketball action).

Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide’s +400 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 19 points per game) is a result of putting up 79.5 points per game (24th in college basketball) while giving up 60.5 per contest (97th in college basketball).
• Alabama pulls down 35.3 rebounds per game (66th in college basketball) while conceding 30.8 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.5 boards per game.
• Alabama hits 3.3 more threes per contest than the opposition, 8.5 (28th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 5.2.
• Alabama has won the turnover battle by 3.7 per game, committing 13.5 (56th in college basketball) while forcing 17.2 (108th in college basketball).

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