Texas vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 15

Published 3:58 pm Friday, February 14, 2025

Saturday’s game between the No. 15 Kentucky Wildcats (17-7, 6-5 SEC) and Texas Longhorns (15-10, 4-8 SEC) going head to head at Moody Center has a projected final score of 79-76 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Kentucky, so it should be a tight matchup. The game will start at 8:00 PM ET on February 15.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup versus Texas. The over/under is listed at 157.5, and the two sides are projected to come in below that total.

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Texas vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Austin, Texas
  • Venue: Moody Center
  • Line: Texas -1.5
  • Point total: 157.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Texas -125, Kentucky +104

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Texas vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Kentucky 79, Texas 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Texas vs. Kentucky

  • Pick ATS: Kentucky (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (157.5)

Texas is 13-12-0 against the spread this season compared to Kentucky’s 12-12-0 ATS record. A total of 15 out of the Longhorns’ games this season have gone over the point total, and 13 of the Wildcats’ games have gone over. The two teams score an average of 164.9 points per game, 7.4 more points than this matchup’s total. Texas is 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall in its past 10 games, while Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Texas Performance Insights

  • The Longhorns have a +241 scoring differential, topping opponents by 9.7 points per game. They’re putting up 78.6 points per game to rank 75th in college basketball and are allowing 68.9 per contest to rank 89th in college basketball.
  • The 32.6 rebounds per game Texas averages rank 151st in college basketball, and are 2.0 more than the 30.6 its opponents collect per contest.
  • Texas knocks down 7.7 three-pointers per game (176th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.0. It shoots 36.6% from deep while its opponents hit 34.0% from long range.
  • The Longhorns average 102.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (37th in college basketball), and allow 90.3 points per 100 possessions (122nd in college basketball).
  • Texas has committed 9.1 turnovers per game (14th in college basketball action), 2.2 fewer than the 11.3 it forces on average (201st in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

  • The Wildcats put up 86.3 points per game (third in college basketball) while giving up 76.0 per outing (297th in college basketball). They have a +245 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 10.3 points per game.
  • The 35.3 rebounds per game Kentucky accumulates rank 40th in the nation, 3.5 more than the 31.8 its opponents collect.
  • Kentucky makes 10.2 three-pointers per game (21st in college basketball), 1.9 more than its opponents. It shoots 38.4% from beyond the arc (16th in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 29.6%.
  • Kentucky forces 9.2 turnovers per game (345th in college basketball) while committing 9.7 (40th in college basketball).

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