Kentucky vs. Oklahoma Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 26

Published 3:58 pm Tuesday, February 25, 2025

Wednesday’s game at Lloyd Noble Center has the No. 17 Kentucky Wildcats (18-9, 7-7 SEC) squaring off against the Oklahoma Sooners (17-10, 4-10 SEC) at 9:00 PM (on February 26). Our computer prediction projects a 81-76 victory for Kentucky, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup against Oklahoma. The over/under is currently listed at 162.5, and the two teams are projected to go under that total.

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Kentucky vs. Oklahoma Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, February 26, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV: SEC Network
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Norman, Oklahoma
  • Venue: Lloyd Noble Center
  • Line: Kentucky -1.5
  • Point total: 162.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -128, Oklahoma +106

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Kentucky vs. Oklahoma Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Kentucky 81, Oklahoma 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Oklahoma

  • Pick ATS: Kentucky (-1.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (162.5)

Kentucky has compiled a 14-13-0 record against the spread this season, while Oklahoma is 12-15-0. The Wildcats have a 14-13-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Sooners have a record of 15-12-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams average 163.4 points per game, 0.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Kentucky is 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall over its past 10 games, while Oklahoma has gone 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

  • The Wildcats’ +249 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 9.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 85.7 points per game (third in college basketball) while allowing 76.4 per outing (303rd in college basketball).
  • The 35 rebounds per game Kentucky averages rank 43rd in the nation, and are 2.9 more than the 32.1 its opponents grab per outing.
  • Kentucky hits 10 three-pointers per game (27th in college basketball), 1.8 more than its opponents (8.2). It is shooting 37.9% from beyond the arc (21st in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 29.3%.
  • The Wildcats rank 14th in college basketball by averaging 106 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 222nd in college basketball, allowing 94.6 points per 100 possessions.
  • Kentucky and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Wildcats commit 10.1 per game (69th in college basketball) and force 9.6 (335th in college basketball action).

Oklahoma Performance Insights

  • The Sooners have a +115 scoring differential, topping opponents by 4.2 points per game. They’re putting up 77.7 points per game, 83rd in college basketball, and are allowing 73.5 per contest to rank 233rd in college basketball.
  • The 29.4 rebounds per game Oklahoma accumulates rank 320th in college basketball, 1.4 fewer than the 30.8 its opponents pull down.
  • Oklahoma hits 8.5 three-pointers per game (98th in college basketball) while shooting 36.2% from beyond the arc (67th in college basketball). It is making 1.2 more threes than its opponents, who drain 7.3 per game at 29.9%.
  • Oklahoma forces 12.6 turnovers per game (80th in college basketball) while committing 11.7 (236th in college basketball).

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