Auburn vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – March 1

Published 11:58 am Friday, February 28, 2025

Saturday’s game features the No. 1 Auburn Tigers (26-2, 14-1 SEC) and the No. 17 Kentucky Wildcats (19-9, 8-7 SEC) matching up at Rupp Arena (on March 1) at 1 p.m. ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in an 81-77 win for Auburn.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 5.5-point spread in its matchup against Auburn. The over/under has been set at 167.5, and the two teams are projected to go under that total.

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Auburn vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV: ABC
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Lexington, Kentucky
  • Venue: Rupp Arena
  • Line: Auburn -5.5
  • Point total: 167.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Auburn -205, Kentucky +168

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Auburn vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Auburn 81, Kentucky 77

Spread & Total Prediction for Auburn vs. Kentucky

  • Pick ATS: Kentucky (+5.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (167.5)

Auburn has compiled a 17-11-0 record against the spread this season, while Kentucky is 14-14-0. The Tigers are 17-11-0 and the Wildcats are 15-13-0 in terms of going over the point total. The two teams score an average of 170.7 points per game, 3.2 more points than this matchup’s total. Auburn is 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall over its past 10 games, while Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Auburn Performance Insights

  • The Tigers average 85.1 points per game (fifth in college basketball) while giving up 68.4 per contest (75th in college basketball). They have a +467 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 16.7 points per game.
  • Auburn wins the rebound battle by 6.8 boards on average. It collects 35.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 30th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 28.6 per outing.
  • Auburn makes 9.3 three-pointers per game (51st in college basketball) while shooting 36.7% from deep (49th in college basketball). It is making 3.4 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 5.9 per game while shooting 29.5%.
  • The Tigers’ 108.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank fourth in college basketball, and the 87.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 42nd in college basketball.
  • Auburn wins the turnover battle by 2.2 per game, committing 8.8 (seventh in college basketball) while its opponents average 11.

Kentucky Performance Insights

  • The Wildcats have a +250 scoring differential, topping opponents by nine points per game. They’re putting up 85.6 points per game, third in college basketball, and are giving up 76.6 per contest to rank 310th in college basketball.
  • Kentucky wins the rebound battle by an average of 2.7 boards. It grabs 34.8 rebounds per game (52nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.1.
  • Kentucky makes 9.9 three-pointers per game (27th in college basketball) at a 37.6% rate (26th in college basketball), compared to the 8.3 per game its opponents make, at a 29.7% rate.
  • Kentucky and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Wildcats commit 10.2 per game (79th in college basketball) and force 9.8 (325th in college basketball).

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