UT Martin vs. Morehead State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – March 1

Published 7:58 pm Friday, February 28, 2025

Saturday’s contest at Kathleen and Tom Elam Center has the UT Martin Skyhawks (13-17, 9-10 OVC) squaring off against the Morehead State Eagles (14-16, 9-10 OVC) at 4:30 p.m. ET on March 1. Our computer prediction projects a 73-66 victory for UT Martin, who are favored by our model.

Based on our computer prediction, UT Martin should cover the point spread, which is currently listed at 5.5. The two sides are projected to eclipse the 134.5 over/under.

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UT Martin vs. Morehead State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
  • Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Martin, Tennessee
  • Venue: Kathleen and Tom Elam Center
  • Line: UT Martin -5.5
  • Point total: 134.5
  • Moneyline (to win): UT Martin -260, Morehead State +205

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UT Martin vs. Morehead State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    UT Martin 73, Morehead State 66

Spread & Total Prediction for UT Martin vs. Morehead State

  • Pick ATS: UT Martin (-5.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (134.5)

UT Martin has put together a 13-14-0 record against the spread this season, while Morehead State is 11-16-0. The Skyhawks have a 14-13-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Eagles have a record of 10-17-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams combine to score 141.8 points per game, 7.3 more points than this matchup’s total. UT Martin is 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall over its last 10 contests, while Morehead State has gone 0-10 against the spread and 1-9 overall.

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UT Martin Performance Insights

  • The Skyhawks outscore opponents by 3.2 points per game (scoring 75.4 points per game to rank 138th in college basketball while allowing 72.2 per outing to rank 194th in college basketball) and have a +96 scoring differential overall.
  • UT Martin ranks 15th in the nation at 36.5 rebounds per game. That’s 4.6 more than the 31.9 its opponents average.
  • UT Martin hits 9.4 three-pointers per game (45th in college basketball) at a 32.2% rate (279th in college basketball), compared to the 9.3 its opponents make while shooting 32.7% from deep.
  • The Skyhawks score 94.0 points per 100 possessions (229th in college basketball), while allowing 90.1 points per 100 possessions (102nd in college basketball).
  • UT Martin and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Skyhawks commit 12.5 per game (296th in college basketball) and force 12.4 (90th in college basketball play).

Morehead State Performance Insights

  • The Eagles have been outscored by 2.9 points per game (posting 66.4 points per game, 345th in college basketball, while allowing 69.3 per outing, 96th in college basketball) and have a -87 scoring differential.
  • Morehead State is 105th in the nation at 33.2 rebounds per game. That’s 4.1 more than the 29.1 its opponents average.
  • Morehead State knocks down 5.8 three-pointers per game (341st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.7. It shoots 30.5% from deep, and its opponents shoot 35.3%.
  • Morehead State has committed 10.8 turnovers per game (135th in college basketball), 1.2 more than the 9.6 it forces (335th in college basketball).

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