Louisville vs. Morehead State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – November 4

Published 7:58 pm Saturday, November 2, 2024

Monday’s contest between the Morehead State Eagles (0-0) and the Louisville Cardinals (0-0) at KFC Yum! Center is expected to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 73-72, with Morehead State securing the victory. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on November 4.

Based on our computer prediction, Morehead State projects to cover the 16.5-point spread in its matchup versus Louisville. The total is listed at 144.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Louisville vs. Morehead State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, November 4, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ACC Network Extra
  • Where: Louisville, Kentucky
  • Venue: KFC Yum! Center
  • Line: Louisville -16.5
  • Point total: 144.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Louisville -3030, Morehead State +1300

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Louisville vs. Morehead State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Morehead State 73, Louisville 72

Spread & Total Prediction for Louisville vs. Morehead State

  • Pick ATS: Morehead State (+16.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (144.5)

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Louisville Performance Insights

  • Offensively, Louisville was the 227th-ranked team in the nation (72 points per game) last season. On defense, it was 23rd-worst (79.1 points allowed per game).
  • The Cardinals were 148th in the nation in rebounds per game (32.4) and 250th in rebounds conceded (32.7) last season.
  • Louisville was 325th in the nation in assists (11.1 per game) last year.
  • Beyond the arc, the Cardinals were 333rd in the nation in 3-pointers made per game (5.5) last year. They were 325th in 3-point percentage at 30.6%.
  • Defensively, Louisville was 319th in the country in 3-pointers conceded per game at 8.6 last year. It was 12th-worst in 3-point percentage conceded at 37.2%.
  • Louisville took 31.2% percent of its shots from behind the 3-point line last season, and 68.8% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 21.9% of Louisville’s baskets were 3-pointers, and 78.1% were 2-pointers.

Morehead State Performance Insights

  • Morehead State had a top-25 defense last season, ranking ninth-best in college basketball with 63.4 points allowed per game. Offensively, it ranked 121st with 75.3 points scored per contest.
  • The Eagles thrived in terms of rebounding last season, ranking 20th-best in the country in rebounds per game (36.3) and ninth-best in rebounds allowed per contest (27.2).
  • Last year Morehead State ranked 70th in college basketball in assists, delivering 14.9 per game.
  • Last year the Eagles committed 11.1 turnovers per game (167th-ranked in college basketball) and forced 10.1 turnovers per contest (291st-ranked).
  • The Eagles ranked top-25 last year in three-point shooting, 23rd-best in college basketball with 9.4 treys per game. Meanwhile, they ranked 68th with a 36% shooting percentage from beyond the arc.
  • In terms of defending three-pointers, everything was clicking for Morehead State, who ceded 5.7 threes per game (13th-best in college basketball) and a 30.2% shooting percentage from beyond the arc (18th-best).
  • When it comes to shot breakdown, Morehead State took 54.8% two-pointers (accounting for 65.1% of the team’s baskets) and 45.2% three-pointers (34.9%).

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