NBA Best Bets: Pacers vs. Heat Picks for November 15
Published 11:39 am Thursday, November 14, 2024
The Indiana Pacers (5-6) are favored (by 3.5 points) to continue a three-game home winning streak when they host the Miami Heat (4-6) on Friday, November 15, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET.
Our computer predictions for Friday’s game will assist you in making an informed wager using the best bets on the board.
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Pacers vs. Heat Game Info
- When: Friday, November 15, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
- Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
- TV: FDSIN and FDSSUN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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Pacers vs. Heat Best Bets
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Pascal Siakam Over 20.5 PTS
- Pascal Siakam has racked up 20.5 points per game during the 2024-25 season, which equals Friday’s over/under.
- Siakam has gone up against a points prop bet in 12 games this season, and he’s hit the over five times.
- The Pacers are the NBA’s 14th-ranked scoring team (113.8 points per game), while the Heat are 11th defensively in terms of points conceded per game (111.2).
- When Indiana totals more than 111.2 points, its record is 5-3.
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Tyler Herro Over 24.5 PTS
- Tyler Herro’s 24.9 points per game are 0.4 points higher than Friday’s over/under.
- Herro has gone over eight times on a points prop this season (in 11 opportunities).
- Miami is the NBA’s 20th-ranked team offensively (110.2 points per game), while Indiana is 23rd-ranked on defense (116.5 conceded).
- Miami has put together a 1-2 record when it scores more than 116.5 points.
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Pick ATS: Heat (+ 3.5)
- Indiana is 6-5-0 against the spread this year.
- Miami’s record against the spread is 4-6-0.
- The Pacers have won twice ATS (2-3) as a 3.5-point favorite or more this year.
- As a 3.5-point underdog or more, the Heat have two wins ATS (2-1).
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Pick OU:
Under (228.5)
- Pacers games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 228.5 points seven times.
- The Heat and their opponents have combined to score more than 228.5 points just twice this season.
- Indiana’s games this year have an average point total of 230.7, 2.2 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
- The average over/under for Miami’s matchups this season is 219.2, 9.3 fewer points than this game’s point total.
- The Pacers score the 24th-most points in the league this season, while the Heat’s offense puts up the 28th-most.
- This game features the league’s top-ranked (Heat) and 12th-ranked (Pacers) scoring defenses.
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Moneyline Pick: Pacers (-165)
- The Pacers have entered the game as favorites five times this season and won twice.
- The Heat have won in one of the four contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
- This season, Indiana has won two of its five games when favored by at least -165 on the moneyline.
- This season, Miami has come away with a win one time in two chances when named as an underdog of at least +135 or worse on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Pacers, based on the moneyline, is 62.3%.
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