NBA Best Bets: Pacers vs. Heat Picks for November 15

Published 11:39 am Thursday, November 14, 2024

The Indiana Pacers (5-6) are favored (by 3.5 points) to continue a three-game home winning streak when they host the Miami Heat (4-6) on Friday, November 15, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET.

Our computer predictions for Friday’s game will assist you in making an informed wager using the best bets on the board.

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Pacers vs. Heat Game Info

  • When: Friday, November 15, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
  • TV: FDSIN and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Pacers vs. Heat Best Bets

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Pascal Siakam Over 20.5 PTS

  • Pascal Siakam has racked up 20.5 points per game during the 2024-25 season, which equals Friday’s over/under.
  • Siakam has gone up against a points prop bet in 12 games this season, and he’s hit the over five times.
  • The Pacers are the NBA’s 14th-ranked scoring team (113.8 points per game), while the Heat are 11th defensively in terms of points conceded per game (111.2).
  • When Indiana totals more than 111.2 points, its record is 5-3.

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Tyler Herro Over 24.5 PTS

  • Tyler Herro’s 24.9 points per game are 0.4 points higher than Friday’s over/under.
  • Herro has gone over eight times on a points prop this season (in 11 opportunities).
  • Miami is the NBA’s 20th-ranked team offensively (110.2 points per game), while Indiana is 23rd-ranked on defense (116.5 conceded).
  • Miami has put together a 1-2 record when it scores more than 116.5 points.

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Pick ATS: Heat (+ 3.5)

  • Indiana is 6-5-0 against the spread this year.
  • Miami’s record against the spread is 4-6-0.
  • The Pacers have won twice ATS (2-3) as a 3.5-point favorite or more this year.
  • As a 3.5-point underdog or more, the Heat have two wins ATS (2-1).

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Pick OU:

Under (228.5)

  • Pacers games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 228.5 points seven times.
  • The Heat and their opponents have combined to score more than 228.5 points just twice this season.
  • Indiana’s games this year have an average point total of 230.7, 2.2 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • The average over/under for Miami’s matchups this season is 219.2, 9.3 fewer points than this game’s point total.
  • The Pacers score the 24th-most points in the league this season, while the Heat’s offense puts up the 28th-most.
  • This game features the league’s top-ranked (Heat) and 12th-ranked (Pacers) scoring defenses.

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Moneyline Pick: Pacers (-165)

  • The Pacers have entered the game as favorites five times this season and won twice.
  • The Heat have won in one of the four contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Indiana has won two of its five games when favored by at least -165 on the moneyline.
  • This season, Miami has come away with a win one time in two chances when named as an underdog of at least +135 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Pacers, based on the moneyline, is 62.3%.

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