Thursday’s contest at Ellis T. Johnson Arena has the Morehead State Eagles (10-7, 5-1 OVC) matching up with the Western Illinois Leathernecks (8-9, 2-4 OVC) at 7:30 PM (on January 16). Our computer prediction projects a 72-67 victory for Morehead State, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

Based on our computer prediction, the Morehead State versus Western Illinois game has a predicted spread that matches the actual spread (5.5). The two teams are projected to exceed the 131.5 total.

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Morehead State vs. Western Illinois Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 16, 2025
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Morehead, Kentucky
• Venue: Ellis T. Johnson Arena
• Line: Morehead State -5.5
• Point total: 131.5
• Moneyline (to win): Morehead State -280, Western Illinois +220

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Morehead State vs. Western Illinois Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Morehead State 72, Western Illinois 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Morehead State vs. Western Illinois

• Pick ATS: Pick Em
• Pick OU: Over (131.5)

Morehead State’s record against the spread so far this season is 9-5-0, and Western Illinois’ is 4-10-0. A total of four out of the Eagles’ games this season have hit the over, and 10 of the Leathernecks’ games have gone over. The teams combine to score 140.1 points per game, 8.6 more points than this matchup’s total. Morehead State has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall in the last 10 games. Western Illinois has gone 3-7 against the spread and 3-7 overall in its last 10 games.

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Morehead State Performance Insights

• The Eagles score 69.6 points per game (302nd in college basketball) and allow 69.8 (131st in college basketball) for a -4 scoring differential overall.
• Morehead State comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 5.9 boards. It is pulling down 35.4 rebounds per game (59th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.5 per contest.
• Morehead State hits 1.2 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 5.8 (341st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.
• The Eagles’ 91.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 282nd in college basketball, and the 91.7 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 183rd in college basketball.
• Morehead State has lost the turnover battle by 1.3 turnovers per game, committing 11.5 (185th in college basketball play) while forcing 10.2 (312th in college basketball).

Western Illinois Performance Insights

• The Leathernecks have a -1 scoring differential, putting up 70.5 points per game (279th in college basketball) and conceding 70.5 (151st in college basketball).
• Western Illinois wins the rebound battle by 2.2 boards on average. It records 31.9 rebounds per game, 232nd in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 29.7.
• Western Illinois connects on 8.4 three-pointers per game (121st in college basketball) at a 36.7% rate (64th in college basketball), compared to the 7.1 per game its opponents make, at a 32.9% rate.
• Western Illinois loses the turnover battle by 1.4 per game, committing 10.9 (124th in college basketball) while its opponents average 9.5.

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