Kentucky vs. Alabama Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 18
Published 11:58 am Friday, January 17, 2025
Saturday’s contest between the No. 8 Kentucky Wildcats (14-3, 3-1 SEC) and No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (14-3, 3-1 SEC) squaring off at Rupp Arena has a projected final score of 83-82 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Kentucky, so it should be a competitive matchup. The game will begin at 12:00 PM ET on January 18.
Based on our computer prediction, Alabama projects to cover the 3.5-point spread in its matchup against Kentucky. The over/under is currently listed at 178.5, and the two teams are projected to come in below that total.
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Kentucky vs. Alabama Game Info & Odds
- Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
- Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Lexington, Kentucky
- Venue: Rupp Arena
- Line: Kentucky -3.5
- Point total: 178.5
- Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -156, Alabama +130
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Kentucky vs. Alabama Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Kentucky 83, Alabama 82
Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Alabama
- Pick ATS: Alabama (+3.5)
- Pick OU: Under (178.5)
Both Kentucky and Alabama are 9-8-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. Both the Wildcats and the Crimson Tide are 9-8-0 in terms of hitting the over in their games this season. The teams average 178.2 points per game combined, 0.3 fewer than this matchup’s total. Kentucky is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its past 10 contests, while Alabama has gone 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall.
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Kentucky Performance Insights
- The Wildcats average 88.7 points per game (third in college basketball) while allowing 74.6 per contest (265th in college basketball). They have a +240 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 14.1 points per game.
- Kentucky ranks 27th in college basketball at 36.4 rebounds per game. That’s 3.9 more than the 32.5 its opponents average.
- Kentucky connects on 2.4 more threes per game than the opposition, 10.1 (29th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.7.
- The Wildcats put up 107.7 points per 100 possessions (ninth in college basketball), while giving up 90.5 points per 100 possessions (151st in college basketball).
- Kentucky and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Wildcats commit 9.5 per game (19th in college basketball) and force 10.5 (291st in college basketball play).
Alabama Performance Insights
- The Crimson Tide outscore opponents by 12.3 points per game (posting 89.5 points per game, first in college basketball, and giving up 77.2 per outing, 310th in college basketball) and have a +209 scoring differential.
- Alabama wins the rebound battle by 8.6 boards on average. It records 40.9 rebounds per game, third in college basketball, while its opponents grab 32.3.
- Alabama knocks down 10 three-pointers per game (31st in college basketball), 3.4 more than its opponents. It shoots 32% from beyond the arc (277th in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 28.4%.
- Alabama has had more turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 12.2 per game (254th in college basketball) while forcing 10.4 (298th in college basketball).
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