Tennessee vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 28

Published 3:58 pm Monday, January 27, 2025

Tuesday’s contest at Thompson-Boling Arena has the No. 8 Tennessee Volunteers (17-3, 4-3 SEC) going head to head against the No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats (14-5, 3-3 SEC) at 7:00 PM ET on January 28. Our computer prediction projects a 78-71 victory for Tennessee, who are favored by our model.

Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky should cover the point spread, which is currently listed at 8.5. The two teams are projected to go over the 148.5 over/under.

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, January 28, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
  • Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
  • Line: Tennessee -8.5
  • Point total: 148.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -385, Kentucky +300

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Tennessee 78, Kentucky 71

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Kentucky

  • Pick ATS: Kentucky (+8.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (148.5)

Tennessee has gone 13-7-0 against the spread, while Kentucky’s ATS record this season is 9-10-0. The Volunteers are 7-13-0 and the Wildcats are 10-9-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams score 163.2 points per game, 14.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 games, Tennessee is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall while Kentucky has gone 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

  • The Volunteers have a +335 scoring differential, topping opponents by 16.7 points per game. They’re putting up 75.1 points per game to rank 175th in college basketball and are giving up 58.4 per outing to rank third in college basketball.
  • Tennessee comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 8.5 boards. It is pulling down 35.3 rebounds per game (50th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 26.8 per contest.
  • Tennessee knocks down 8.6 three-pointers per game (101st in college basketball), 2.0 more than its opponents (6.6). It is shooting 34.2% from beyond the arc (160th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 25.4%.
  • The Volunteers rank 92nd in college basketball with 99.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and second in college basketball defensively with 77.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • Tennessee has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 10.2 per game (68th in college basketball action) while forcing 12.2 (140th in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

  • The Wildcats put up 88.1 points per game (third in college basketball) while allowing 76.0 per outing (296th in college basketball). They have a +230 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 12.1 points per game.
  • Kentucky pulls down 36.5 rebounds per game (25th in college basketball) while conceding 32.4 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.1 boards per game.
  • Kentucky connects on 10.1 three-pointers per game (23rd in college basketball) while shooting 36.9% from deep (51st in college basketball). It is making 1.9 more threes than its opponents, who drain 8.2 per game at 29.2%.
  • Kentucky forces 10.1 turnovers per game (313th in college basketball) while committing 9.8 (34th in college basketball).

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