Ole Miss vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 4

Published 11:58 am Monday, February 3, 2025

Tuesday’s contest at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss has the No. 23 Ole Miss Rebels (16-6, 5-4 SEC) taking on the No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats (15-6, 4-4 SEC) at 7:00 PM ET (on February 4). Our computer prediction projects a close 79-76 win for Ole Miss, so expect a tight matchup.

According to our computer prediction, Ole Miss projects to cover the 2.5-point spread in its matchup versus Kentucky. The over/under is listed at 155.5, and the two teams are projected to fall short of that total.

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Ole Miss vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, February 4, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Oxford, Mississippi
  • Venue: The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss
  • Line: Ole Miss -2.5
  • Point total: 155.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Ole Miss -140, Kentucky +116

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Ole Miss vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Ole Miss 79, Kentucky 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Ole Miss vs. Kentucky

  • Pick ATS: Ole Miss (-2.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (155.5)

Ole Miss has compiled a 13-9-0 record against the spread this season, while Kentucky is 10-11-0. A total of nine out of the Rebels’ games this season have hit the over, and 12 of the Wildcats’ games have gone over. The teams average 164.9 points per game, 9.4 more points than this matchup’s total. Ole Miss is 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 contests, while Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Ole Miss Performance Insights

  • The Rebels outscore opponents by 10 points per game (scoring 77.7 points per game to rank 96th in college basketball while allowing 67.7 per contest to rank 67th in college basketball) and have a +221 scoring differential overall.
  • Ole Miss grabs 30.8 rebounds per game (274th in college basketball) while allowing 33.3 per contest to its opponents. It is outrebounded by 2.5 boards per game.
  • Ole Miss knocks down 1.2 more threes per game than the opposition, 8.8 (89th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.6.
  • The Rebels’ 99.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 95th in college basketball, and the 86.6 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 46th in college basketball.
  • Ole Miss has committed 6.1 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 8.9 (eighth in college basketball action) while forcing 15 (11th in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

  • The Wildcats have a +225 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.7 points per game. They’re putting up 87.2 points per game, third in college basketball, and are giving up 76.5 per contest to rank 304th in college basketball.
  • Kentucky wins the rebound battle by 3.9 boards on average. It collects 36.2 rebounds per game, 26th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 32.3.
  • Kentucky hits 10.2 three-pointers per game (19th in college basketball), 1.6 more than its opponents. It shoots 37.7% from beyond the arc (30th in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 29.8%.
  • Kentucky and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Wildcats commit 10.1 per game (68th in college basketball) and force 9.8 (327th in college basketball).

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